Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rugenbergen vs Suderelbe

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Zimmerman M.
35' Event
Koval A.
42' Event
Krasniqi E.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between Rugenbergen and Suderelbe finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suderelbe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rugenbergen
35%
Draws
32%
Suderelbe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suderelbe come out ahead of Rugenbergen on wins alone.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 13%
Suderelbe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rugenbergen Suderelbe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Suderelbe
2:4
Aug 18, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Suderelbe vs Rugenbergen
2:4
Apr 18, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Suderelbe
2:2
Mar 3, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Suderelbe vs Rugenbergen
0:2
Nov 21, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Suderelbe
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rugenbergen Compare

Top Goalscorer Zimmerman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haase P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Suderelbe Compare

Top Goalscorer Koval A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krasniqi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rugenbergen 30 / 100
Suderelbe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rugenbergen Suderelbe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rugenbergen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rugenbergen scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Suderelbe let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Rugenbergen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Suderelbe
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rugenbergen

(Home)
17 May
Rugenbergen
1 : 1
HEBC Hamburg
11 May
Sasel
3 : 3
Rugenbergen
26 Apr
SC Victoria Hamburg
5 : 0
Rugenbergen
21 Apr
Rugenbergen
3 : 0
Tornesch
14 Apr
Rugenbergen
0 : 3
Altona
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Suderelbe

(Away)
26 Sept
Suderelbe
1 : 1
SC Victoria Hamburg
18 Sept
Vorwarts-Wacker
0 : 0
Suderelbe
11 Sept
Suderelbe
1 : 0
HT 16
06 Sept
Niendorfer TSV
1 : 0
Suderelbe
28 Aug
Suderelbe
2 : 5
Paloma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
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