Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rugenbergen vs VfL Lohbrugge

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rugenbergen play VfL Lohbrugge in the Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rugenbergen averaged 1.44 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. VfL Lohbrugge averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Rugenbergen won 2, VfL Lohbrugge won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 13, 2022 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Rugenbergen and 2.25 for VfL Lohbrugge. This points to a Rugenbergen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Rugenbergen
16%
Draws
31%
VfL Lohbrugge
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Rugenbergen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Rugenbergen picked up more points recently compared to VfL Lohbrugge.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 10%
VfL Lohbrugge Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rugenbergen VfL Lohbrugge
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.44 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs VfL Lohbrugge
4:1
Mar 26, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
VfL Lohbrugge vs Rugenbergen
1:2
Dec 20, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs VfL Lohbrugge
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rugenbergen 50 / 100
VfL Lohbrugge 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rugenbergen VfL Lohbrugge

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rugenbergen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Rugenbergen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rugenbergen attacking → ← attacking VfL Lohbrugge

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rugenbergen scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

VfL Lohbrugge let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Rugenbergen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

VfL Lohbrugge lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 23
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50