Sport Picks
Rumelange vs FC Marisca Mersch
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
Rumelange in this Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rumelange
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- FC Marisca Mersch haven't matched Rumelange's recent run of results.
- Rumelange are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Rumelange have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rumelange, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rumelange Clean Sheet 10%
FC Marisca Mersch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rumelange | FC Marisca Mersch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 3.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 29, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Rumelange vs FC Marisca Mersch
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rumelange 83 / 100
FC Marisca Mersch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rumelange FC Marisca Mersch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Marisca Mersch has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Rumelange scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Rumelange remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rumelange VS FC Marisca Mersch
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Rumelange
(Home) 04 Jul
Dudelange
2 : 1 Rumelange
25 Jan
Pirmasens
2 : 3 Rumelange
09 Nov
Rumelange
2 : 4 Fola
21 Sept
Avenir Beggen
2 : 3 Rumelange
19 Jul
Rumelange
2 : 2 FC Rodange 91
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09 Nov
Rumelange
2 : 4 Fola
19 Jul
Rumelange
2 : 2 FC Rodange 91
10 Nov
Rumelange
1 : 3 Progres Niedercorn
03 Apr
Rumelange
0 : 5 Jeunesse Esch
04 Feb
Rumelange
1 : 2 Schifflange
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FC Marisca Mersch
(Away) 26 Jul
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 FC Marisca Mersch
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 2 Ettelbruck
09 Nov
Wiltz
6 : 0 FC Marisca Mersch
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4 FC Marisca Mersch
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
1 : 5 Bissen
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26 Jul
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 FC Marisca Mersch
09 Nov
Wiltz
6 : 0 FC Marisca Mersch
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4 FC Marisca Mersch
10 Nov
Kaerjeng
2 : 1 FC Marisca Mersch
06 Oct
Jeunesse Useldange
1 : 3 FC Marisca Mersch
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Kopstal 330
Grevenmacher2
Diekirch0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler4
US Sandweiler1
Jeunesse Canach2
Jeunesse Junglinster0
Wiltz4
FF Norden1
Victoria Rosport0
Oberkorn1
Lorentzweiler4
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig0
UNA Strassen5
FC 47 Bastendorf0
Fola1
US Berdorf Consdorf3
Rumelange4
Blo Weiss Itzig0
FC Marisca Mersch4
Mertzig1
FC Mamer4
FC Schengen1
Jeunesse Esch5
Kehlen2
FC Rodange 913
Steinfort0
Bettembourg1
Red Star Merl/Belair3
Berdenia Berbourg0
The Belval Belvaux0
Hesperange3
Lintgen1
Hostert3
Bissen3
Union Titus Petange5
ALSS Luxembourg2
Avenir Beggen1
CS Sanem1
Racing Luxembourg3
Union Remich/Bous0
Schifflange4
Jeunesse Schieren0
Kaerjeng5
Erpeldange1
Blo Weiss Medernach0
Gasperich0
Mondorf4
Racing Troisvierges1
Alisontia Steinsel7
FC Orania Vianden0
Ettelbruck2
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler0
FC Residence Walferdange3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf0
Progres Niedercorn11
FC Koerich/Simmern1
Koeppchen3
Jeunesse Useldange1
Mondercange3
US Feulen0
Dudelange4
Luxembourg City1
Differdange3
1/16-finals
Grevenmacher2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler4
Jeunesse Canach4
Wiltz3
FF Norden1
Lorentzweiler0
UNA Strassen4
Fola3
Rumelange4
FC Marisca Mersch0
FC Mamer1
Jeunesse Esch2
FC Rodange 913
Bettembourg4
Red Star Merl/Belair2
Hesperange3
Hostert2
Union Titus Petange1
ALSS Luxembourg0
Racing Luxembourg3
Schifflange3
Kaerjeng2
Erpeldange1
Mondorf8
Alisontia Steinsel5
Ettelbruck1
FC Residence Walferdange3
Progres Niedercorn5
Koeppchen2
Mondercange5
Dudelange0
Differdange2
1/8-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler3
Jeunesse Canach2
FF Norden1
UNA Strassen2
Rumelange0
Jeunesse Esch5
Bettembourg2
Hesperange3
Hostert1
Racing Luxembourg0
Schifflange1
Mondorf2
Alisontia Steinsel1
Progres Niedercorn3
Mondercange0
Differdange3
Quarter-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler0
UNA Strassen2
Jeunesse Esch0
Hesperange2
Hostert1
Mondorf2
Progres Niedercorn2
Differdange0
Semi-finals
UNA Strassen0
Hesperange2
Mondorf0
Progres Niedercorn2
Final
Hesperange1
Progres Niedercorn2
