Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rumelange vs Fola

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026
Sun, Nov 9, 2025
2 - 4
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fola in this Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Rumelange
15%
Draws
64%
Fola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Rumelange average 2.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Fola's 1.22.
  • Model gives Fola a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Fola, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fola have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rumelange Clean Sheet 10%
Fola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rumelange Fola
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 1
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 2.07 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 2.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Rumelange vs Fola
2:4
Jun 2, 2024 BGL Ligue
Fola vs Rumelange
3:2
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Fola vs Rumelange
3:0
Apr 14, 2019 BGL Ligue
Fola vs Rumelange
7:0
Oct 7, 2018 BGL Ligue
Rumelange vs Fola
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rumelange 10 / 100
Fola 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rumelange Fola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fola has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rumelange scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Rumelange remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rumelange VS Fola
1.88 Goals Scored 2.14
2 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Rumelange

(Home)
20 Sept
Pratzerthal/Redange
1 : 9
Rumelange
16 Sept
UNA Strassen
2 : 0
Rumelange
13 Sept
Rumelange
0 : 6
Bissen
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Rumelange
2 : 5
Jeunesse Esch
Page 1 of 6

Fola

(Away)
20 Sept
Lintgen
3 : 0
Fola
22 Apr
Fola
0 : 1
FC Rodange 91
04 Mar
Fola
3 : 1
Hostert
09 Nov
Rumelange
2 : 4
Fola
21 Sept
Jeunesse Biwer
1 : 4
Fola
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Ehlerange 0
Differdange 9
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Union Titus Petange 4
Les Aiglons Dalheim 2
The Belval Belvaux 6
Grevenmacher 0
UNA Strassen 3
Kehlen 2
Ettelbruck 3
Echternach 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
FC Munsbach 3
FC Residence Walferdange 1
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Canach 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Fola 4
Oberkorn 0
Hesperange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Hostert 4
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Koeppchen 0
FC Schengen 2
Luxembourg City 4
Gasperich 0
Lorentzweiler 1
US Folschette 0
FC Rodange 91 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Dudelange 3
FC Noertzange HF 0
Bissen 9
FC Kopstal 33 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
CS Sanem 1
Mondorf 6
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 2
Wiltz 6
ALSS Luxembourg 2
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Miniere Lasauvage 2
US Feulen 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Bettembourg 6
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Schifflange 2
Mertzig 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 0
Kaerjeng 3
FF Norden 1
Mondercange 4
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/16-finals
Differdange 2
Union Titus Petange 1
The Belval Belvaux 2
UNA Strassen 4
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
FC Munsbach 2
Jeunesse Canach 3
Rumelange 2
Fola 4
Hesperange 0
Hostert 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Rodange 91 4
Dudelange 1
Bissen 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Mondorf 2
Wiltz 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
US Feulen 2
Bettembourg 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Alisontia Steinsel 2
FC Mamer 2
Kaerjeng 0
Mondercange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/8-finals
Differdange 4
UNA Strassen 3
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Fola 3
Hostert 1
Luxembourg City 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Bissen 2
Mondorf 1
Wiltz 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
US Feulen 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
FC Mamer 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Quarter-finals
Differdange 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Fola 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Bissen 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
US Feulen 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Final
Differdange 4
Victoria Rosport 1