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Runar vs Tollnes

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tollnes in this Division 3 - Group 5 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tollnes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Runar
20%
Draws
70%
Tollnes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tollnes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Tollnes have won more games recently than Runar.
  • Tollnes are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Runar Clean Sheet 20%
Tollnes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Runar Tollnes
Matches Played 34 38
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.79 2.08
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2014 Division 3 - Group 5
Runar vs Tollnes
1:3
Aug 19, 2014 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Runar
2:1
Oct 12, 2013 Division 3 - Group 5
Runar vs Tollnes
5:4
Jun 21, 2013 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Runar
5:1
Jul 31, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Runar
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Runar 20 / 100
Tollnes 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Runar Tollnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tollnes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tollnes let in goals in 84% of their last 38 matches.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Runar found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Solid form: Runar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tollnes
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Runar

(Home)
22 Apr
Runar
0 : 6
Stabaek
25 Oct
Runar
1 : 3
Tollnes
18 Oct
Donn
6 : 1
Runar
10 Oct
Runar
1 : 3
Tonsberg
30 Sept
Runar
1 : 1
Larvik Turn
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Tollnes

(Away)
13 Apr
Tollnes
0 : 5
Odds BK
24 Oct
Tollnes
1 : 0
Sandnes Ulf 2
17 Oct
Algard
3 : 1
Tollnes
09 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 3
IL Express
06 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 1
Odds BK 3
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