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Russia U16 vs Tajikistan U17

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Sulaymonov A.
73' Event
Oriyonmekhr N.
79' Event
Gafurov M.

AI Match Summary

Tajikistan U17 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tajikistan U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Russia U16
15%
Draws
31%
Tajikistan U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Russia U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Tajikistan U17 haven't matched Russia U16's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Russia U16's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tajikistan U17 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Russia U16 Clean Sheet 20%
Tajikistan U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia U16 Tajikistan U17
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 20 16
Draws 2 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.03 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2023 Friendly International
Tajikistan U17 vs Russia U16
2:1
Nov 17, 2023 Friendly International
Tajikistan U17 vs Russia U16
2:2
Feb 11, 2023 Friendly International
Russia U16 vs Tajikistan U17
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tajikistan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulaymonov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oriyonmekhr N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia U16 85 / 100
Tajikistan U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia U16 Tajikistan U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Russia U16 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Tajikistan U17 conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Russia U16 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Russia U16 VS Tajikistan U17
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia U16

(Home)
18 Apr
Russia U16
2 : 0
Kazakhstan U16
15 Apr
Belarus U16
2 : 1
Russia U16
13 Apr
Russia U16
2 : 0
China U16
23 Mar
Russia U16
3 : 0
North Macedonia U16
21 Mar
Russia U16
3 : 0
Kyrgyzstan U16
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Tajikistan U17

(Away)
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Saudi Arabia U17
5 : 5
Tajikistan U17
09 May
Myanmar U17
0 : 1
Tajikistan U17
05 May
Tajikistan U17
2 : 0
Thailand U17
11 Nov
Burkina Faso U17
2 : 0
Tajikistan U17
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