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Friendly International 2025 Fisht Olympic Stadium

Chile

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Russia play Chile in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Russia averaged 2.75 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. Chile averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Russia won 0, Chile won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 15, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Russia and 1.06 for Chile. This points to a Russia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Russia

24%

Draws

28%

Chile

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Russia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Russia picked up more points recently compared to Chile.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Russia Clean Sheet 22%

Chile Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Russia	Chile
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	17	10
Draws	8	6
Losses	3	14
Goals Scored	2.75	1.2
Goals Conceded	0.57	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International

Russia vs Chile

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

0:2

Jun 9, 2017 Friendly International

Russia vs Chile

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapia G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Brereton Diaz B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia 48 / 100

Chile 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Russia Chile

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Russia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Russia attacking → ← attacking Chile

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Russia scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Chile let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Russia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chile lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 36

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63