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Russia vs Iran Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Golovin A.
Assist: Batrakov A.
27'
Sub
Mohebi M. In: Hajsafi E.
Out: Mohebi M.
31'
Hardani S.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Russia and Iran finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Russia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Russia
35%
Draws
15%
Iran
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Russia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Russia come out ahead of Iran on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Russia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Russia Clean Sheet 68%
Iran Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia Iran
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.88 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.54 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Friendly International
Russia vs Iran
2:0
Oct 10, 2025 Friendly International
Russia vs Iran
2:1
Mar 23, 2023 Friendly International
Iran vs Russia
1:1
Nov 10, 2022 Friendly International
Iran vs Russia
0:0
Oct 10, 2017 Friendly International
Russia vs Iran
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia Compare

Top Goalscorer Golovin A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Iran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia 95 / 100
Iran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia Iran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Russia scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Russia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Iran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Russia VS Iran
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia

(Home)
29 Sept
Russia
2 : 0
Iran
09 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
28 May
Egypt
1 : 0
Russia
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
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Iran

(Away)
29 Sept
Russia
2 : 0
Iran
24 Sept
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Iran
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
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