Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rustad vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2013 game between Rustad and Sarpsborg 08 2 finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rustad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rustad
15%
Draws
85%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarpsborg 08 2 come out ahead of Rustad on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sarpsborg 08 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rustad Clean Sheet 19%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rustad Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 33 42
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.82 2.93
Goals Conceded 2.82 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Rustad
7:0
May 12, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Rustad vs Sarpsborg 08 2
0:4
Sep 23, 2013 Division 3 - Group 1
Rustad vs Sarpsborg 08 2
5:3
Jun 3, 2013 Division 3 - Group 1
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Rustad
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rustad 10 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rustad Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.75 goals per match.

Rustad scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Sarpsborg 08 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 42 matches.

Sarpsborg 08 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarpsborg 08 2
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rustad

(Home)
25 Oct
Rustad
1 : 5
Trosvik
18 Oct
Sprint-Jeloy
6 : 0
Rustad
11 Oct
Rustad
0 : 1
Oppsal
04 Oct
Sparta Sarpsborg
3 : 2
Rustad
27 Sept
Rustad
1 : 5
Krakeroy
Page 1 of 7

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Away)
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
09 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
11 : 0
Brumunddal
03 Aug
Oppsal
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
27 Jul
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 3
Orn
Page 1 of 9