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Ruthin Town vs Newtown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Boakye H.
45' Event
Astley J. W.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Ruthin Town and Newtown finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newtown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ruthin Town
35%
Draws
38%
Newtown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Newtown carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Newtown a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Newtown have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 10%
Newtown Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruthin Town Newtown
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2026 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Newtown
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Newtown
2:3
Jul 25, 2025 Cymru North
Newtown vs Ruthin Town
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruthin Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Newtown Compare

Top Goalscorer Boakye H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Astley J. W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruthin Town 10 / 100
Newtown 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruthin Town Newtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Ruthin Town's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Newtown's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Ruthin Town has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ruthin Town VS Newtown
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruthin Town

(Home)
31 Oct
Gresford
1 : 2
Ruthin Town
09 Oct
Ruthin Town
1 : 1
Rhyl
03 Oct
Buckley
1 : 1
Ruthin Town
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
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Newtown

(Away)
31 Oct
Newtown
2 : 0
Buckley
24 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 2
Newtown
17 Oct
Newtown
7 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
10 Oct
Newtown
0 : 0
Bangor 1876
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)