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Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ruthin Town play Porthmadog in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ruthin Town averaged 1.44 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. Porthmadog averaged 1.34 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. In past meetings, Ruthin Town won 4, Porthmadog won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Ruthin Town and 2.25 for Porthmadog. This points to a Ruthin Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ruthin Town
15%
Draws
34%
Porthmadog
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ruthin Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Ruthin Town picked up more points recently compared to Porthmadog.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 10%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruthin Town Porthmadog
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.44 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog
4:2
Jan 6, 2024 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town
2:3
Oct 27, 2023 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog
1:1
Feb 4, 2023 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog
1:0
Jan 28, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruthin Town 48 / 100
Porthmadog 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruthin Town Porthmadog

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ruthin Town or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ruthin Town attacking → ← attacking Porthmadog

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ruthin Town scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Porthmadog let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ruthin Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Porthmadog lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 24
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00