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Rutsiro vs Rayon Sport

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Rutsiro and Rayon Sport finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Rutsiro
35%
Draws
39%
Rayon Sport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rayon Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Rayon Sport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rayon Sport have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Rutsiro Clean Sheet 14%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rutsiro Rayon Sport
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 14
Draws 11 18
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.87 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Rayon Sport
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Rutsiro
3:1
May 8, 2025 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Rutsiro
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Rayon Sport
0:1
Feb 25, 2023 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Rayon Sport
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rutsiro 31 / 100
Rayon Sport 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rutsiro Rayon Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayon Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Rutsiro's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rayon Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 36 matches.

Recent resilience: Rutsiro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rutsiro VS Rayon Sport
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rutsiro

(Home)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
Kigali FC
17 May
APR
3 : 0
Rutsiro
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Amagaju
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
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Rayon Sport

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)