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Stadium Background

RW Essen vs Alemannia Aachen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RW Essen host Alemannia Aachen in the 3. Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: RW Essen at 2.06 goals for, 1.52 against; Alemannia Aachen at 2.34 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Alemannia Aachen slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.25) point toward Alemannia Aachen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
RW Essen
15%
Draws
42%
Alemannia Aachen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Alemannia Aachen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on RW Essen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 19%
Alemannia Aachen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RW Essen Alemannia Aachen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.06 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 3. Liga
Alemannia Aachen vs RW Essen
3:3
Aug 31, 2025 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Alemannia Aachen
2:3
Jan 19, 2025 3. Liga
Alemannia Aachen vs RW Essen
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Alemannia Aachen
1:2
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Alemannia Aachen vs RW Essen
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RW Essen 58 / 100
Alemannia Aachen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RW Essen Alemannia Aachen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RW Essen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RW Essen's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Alemannia Aachen conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

RW Essen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RW Essen VS Alemannia Aachen
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RW Essen

(Home)
01 Nov
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0 : 1
RW Essen
27 Oct
RW Essen
1 : 2
RB Leipzig
23 Oct
RW Essen
1 : 0
Regensburg
17 Oct
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
RW Essen
13 Oct
RW Essen
2 : 0
Fortuna Koln
Page 1 of 7

Alemannia Aachen

(Away)
01 Nov
Alemannia Aachen
2 : 1
Preussen Munster
24 Oct
VfB Stuttgart II
1 : 2
Alemannia Aachen
17 Oct
Alemannia Aachen
2 : 0
Hansa Rostock
14 Oct
Wehen
3 : 0
Alemannia Aachen
11 Oct
Alemannia Aachen
2 : 5
FC Viktoria Koln
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Viktoria Koln 12 8 2 2 31:15 26
2 Duisburg 12 8 2 2 31:17 26
3 RW Essen 12 7 3 2 20:13 24
4 Saarbrucken 12 6 2 4 28:21 20
5 Alemannia Aachen 12 6 2 4 19:18 20
6 Wehen 12 5 3 4 23:17 18
7 Ingolstadt 12 5 3 4 16:17 18
8 Mannheim 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
9 Hoffenheim II 12 5 1 6 21:20 16
10 Dusseldorf 12 4 4 4 12:14 16
11 Hansa Rostock 12 4 4 4 19:22 16
12 Meppen 12 4 3 5 16:17 15
13 VfB Stuttgart II 12 4 3 5 21:23 15
14 Preussen Munster 12 4 3 5 20:23 15
15 Wurzburger Kickers 12 4 2 6 17:24 14
16 Regensburg 12 3 4 5 22:21 13
17 Verl 12 3 3 6 17:26 12
18 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 12 3 3 6 13:26 12
19 Fortuna Koln 12 2 4 6 9:14 10
20 TSV Havelse 12 2 4 6 17:26 10
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)