Sport Picks
RW Essen vs Ingolstadt Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
3. Liga 2025/2026 Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen 
Match Events
11'
11'
Maljojoki J.
19'
19'
Abiama D.
Assist: Brumme L.
28'
28'
Maljojoki J.
Assist: Carlsen F.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between RW Essen and Ingolstadt finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RW Essen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RW Essen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- RW Essen carry the better recent record into this one.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on RW Essen taking it.
- Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- RW Essen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 19%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RW Essen | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Ingolstadt
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs RW Essen
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Ingolstadt
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs RW Essen
2:2
Apr 28, 2024 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Ingolstadt
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RW Essen Compare
Top Goalscorer Abiama D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hofmann J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Ingolstadt Compare
Top Goalscorer Maljojoki J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RW Essen 85 / 100
Ingolstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RW Essen Ingolstadt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RW Essen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
RW Essen's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
RW Essen has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Ingolstadt conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
RW Essen VS Ingolstadt
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
RW Essen
(Home) 20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1 Hansa Rostock
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2 RW Essen
12 Sept
RW Essen
6 : 2 Wurzburger Kickers
05 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 0 FC Viktoria Koln
29 Aug
Wehen
0 : 0 RW Essen
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20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1 Hansa Rostock
12 Sept
RW Essen
6 : 2 Wurzburger Kickers
05 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 0 FC Viktoria Koln
23 Aug
RW Essen
2 : 0 St. Pauli
15 Aug
RW Essen
1 : 0 TSV Havelse
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Ingolstadt
(Away) 19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0 Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2 Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1 Ingolstadt
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3 Alemannia Aachen
29 Aug
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0 : 2 Ingolstadt
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19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0 Ingolstadt
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1 Ingolstadt
29 Aug
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0 : 2 Ingolstadt
15 Aug
Preussen Munster
1 : 1 Ingolstadt
01 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 1 Ingolstadt
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 80 |
| 2 | Energie Cottbus | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 72 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 70 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 68 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 67 |
| 6 | Verl | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 64 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 64 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Viktoria Koln | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 49 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | 49 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart II | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | 46 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | 44 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | 43 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | 35 |
| 18 | Aue | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | 34 |
| 19 | Ulm | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | 33 |
| 20 | 1. FC Schweinfurt | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | 21 |
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
