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Rwanda U17 vs Uganda U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
43' Event
51' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Uganda U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Rwanda U17
11%
Draws
80%
Uganda U17
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Uganda U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Uganda U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Uganda U17 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Uganda U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rwanda U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Uganda U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda U17 Uganda U17
Matches Played 13 25
Wins 3 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 3 1.25
Goals Conceded 3 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Rwanda U17 vs Uganda U17
2:3
Jul 19, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Uganda U17 vs Rwanda U17
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda U17 10 / 100
Uganda U17 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda U17 Uganda U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UGA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Uganda U17 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Rwanda U17 found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (13 games).

Recent resilience: Rwanda U17 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda U17 VS Uganda U17
3 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda U17

(Home)
04 Apr
Tanzania U17
3 : 3
Rwanda U17
02 Aug
Rwanda U17
2 : 3
Uganda U17
19 Jul
Uganda U17
4 : 0
Rwanda U17
27 Oct
Rwanda U17
1 : 1
Botswana U17
13 Oct
Botswana U17
1 : 0
Rwanda U17
Page 1 of 3

Uganda U17

(Away)
23 May
Uganda U17
3 : 2
Ghana U17
19 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 2
Uganda U17
16 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
Uganda U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zambia U17-
TBD-
TBD-
Botswana U17-
Rwanda U17-
TBD-
Seychelles U171
Uganda U175
Gabon U17-
TBD-
TBD-
Ethiopia U17-
D.R. Congo U17-
Burundi U17-
TBD-
Nigeria U17-
Guinea U17-
Gambia U17-
TBD-
Morocco U17-
Senegal U17-
TBD-
Guinea-Bissau U17-
Togo U17-
Cameroon U17-
Central Africa U17-
TBD-
Burkina Faso U17-
South Sudan U17-
Kenya U17-
TBD-
Ghana U17-
Angola U17-
TBD-
Namibia U171
Mozambique U172
Libya U17-
Mauritania U17-
TBD-
Ivory Coast U17-
Benin U17-
TBD-
TBD-
Mali U17-
Sierra Leone U17-
Liberia U17-
TBD-
Tunisia U17-
South Africa U17-
TBD-
TBD-
Tanzania U17-
Congo U17-
TBD-
Sudan U173
Egypt U177
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
Zambia U176
Botswana U170
Rwanda U172
Uganda U177
Gabon U173
Ethiopia U170
D.R. Congo U170
Nigeria U175
Guinea U173
Morocco U171
Senegal U171
Togo U171
Cameroon U172
Burkina Faso U170
South Sudan U17-
Ghana U17-
Angola U173
Mozambique U172
Libya U170
Ivory Coast U177
Benin U171
Mali U170
Sierra Leone U17-
Tunisia U17-
South Africa U174
Tanzania U170
Congo U171
Egypt U172
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
Zambia U174
Uganda U171
Gabon U172
Nigeria U176
Guinea U174
Togo U170
Cameroon U174
Ghana U176
Angola U171
Ivory Coast U174
Mali U175
Tunisia U171
South Africa U174
Egypt U173
TBD-
TBD-