Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rwanda U20 vs Ethiopia U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 Uhuru Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship U20 game between Rwanda U20 and Ethiopia U20 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Rwanda U20
30%
Draws
12%
Ethiopia U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rwanda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethiopia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Rwanda U20 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Rwanda U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda U20 Ethiopia U20
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 2
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.84 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 CECAFA Championship U20
Rwanda U20 vs Ethiopia U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda U20 95 / 100
Ethiopia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda U20 Ethiopia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ethiopia U20 conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

Rwanda U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ethiopia U20's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Rwanda U20 found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (25 games).

Scoring Trends

Rwanda U20 VS Ethiopia U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda U20

(Home)
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
15 Sept
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
15 Oct
Rwanda U20
5 : 1
Djibouti U20
13 Oct
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
10 Oct
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Kenya U20
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Ethiopia U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U20 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Rwanda U20 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
3 Ethiopia U20 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Sudan U20 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Djibouti U20 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi U20 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kenya U20 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
3 South Sudan U20 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)