Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rwanda U20 vs South Sudan U20

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2015
Sat, Apr 26, 2014
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U20 2015. This one's hard to separate. South Sudan U20 have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Rwanda U20 have conceded 1.2 and scored 0.84. Past meetings favor Rwanda U20 slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2014, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 0.85) back Rwanda U20 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rwanda U20
30%
Draws
31%
South Sudan U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rwanda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Sudan U20 lately — more wins on the board than Rwanda U20.
  • Win probability leans Rwanda U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • South Sudan U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Rwanda U20 Clean Sheet 20%
South Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda U20 South Sudan U20
Matches Played 25 23
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.84 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Rwanda U20 vs South Sudan U20
0:0
Apr 5, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
South Sudan U20 vs Rwanda U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda U20 40 / 100
South Sudan U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda U20 South Sudan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Sudan U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 23 matches.

Rwanda U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

South Sudan U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Rwanda U20 scored in 48% of their last 25 games.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda U20 VS South Sudan U20
0.83 Goals Scored 0.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda U20

(Home)
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
15 Sept
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
15 Oct
Rwanda U20
5 : 1
Djibouti U20
13 Oct
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
10 Oct
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 5

South Sudan U20

(Away)
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
11 Oct
Uganda U20
2 : 2
South Sudan U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
South Sudan U20
0 : 1
Burundi U20
15 Mar
Uganda U20
1 : 0
South Sudan U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Malawi U20 3
Botswana U20 2
TBD -
D.R. Congo U20 -
Mozambique U20 4
Namibia U20 2
TBD -
Zambia U20 -
Nigeria U20 -
TBD -
Kenya U20 0
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 -
TBD -
Eswatini U20 2
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Djibouti U20 1
Burundi U20 2
Ethiopia U20 5
Seychelles U20 0
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Guinea U20 0
Sierra Leone U20 2
Rwanda U20 -
South Sudan U20 -
TBD -
Gabon U20 -
Congo U20 3
Niger U20 2
TBD -
Benin U20 -
Sudan U20 5
Somalia U20 0
TBD -
Egypt U20 -
Libya U20 4
Chad U20 0
Mauritania U20 1
Tunisia U20 6
Liberia U20 0
Gambia U20 1
Guinea-Bissau U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
Mali U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U20 -
Morocco U20 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U20 -
Togo U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Malawi U20 3
D.R. Congo U20 1
Mozambique U20 0
Zambia U20 4
Nigeria U20 6
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 1
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 2
Burundi U20 1
Ethiopia U20 0
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 1
Rwanda U20 0
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 4
Benin U20 3
Sudan U20 0
Egypt U20 5
Libya U20 4
Tunisia U20 2
Liberia U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Mali U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 2
Morocco U20 4
Togo U20 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Malawi U20 1
Zambia U20 3
Nigeria U20 6
Lesotho U20 0
Cameroon U20 2
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 3
Egypt U20 2
Libya U20 3
Ivory Coast U20 4
Mali U20 2
Togo U20 1
TBD -
TBD -