Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rwanda U23 vs Libya U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rwanda U23
15%
Draws
46%
Libya U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Libya U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Libya U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rwanda U23 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Libya U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rwanda U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Rwanda U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Libya U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda U23 Libya U23
Matches Played 4 5
Wins 1 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1.25 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Rwanda U23 vs Libya U23
3:0
Sep 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Libya U23 vs Rwanda U23
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda U23 50 / 100
Libya U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda U23 Libya U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libya U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 5 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rwanda U23 scored in 75% of their last 4 outings.

Difficult form: Libya U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda U23 VS Libya U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda U23

(Home)
29 Oct
Mali U23
1 : 0
Rwanda U23
22 Oct
Rwanda U23
1 : 1
Mali U23
27 Sept
Rwanda U23
3 : 0
Libya U23
23 Sept
Libya U23
4 : 1
Rwanda U23

Libya U23

(Away)
27 Sept
Rwanda U23
3 : 0
Libya U23
23 Sept
Libya U23
4 : 1
Rwanda U23
25 Mar
Nigeria U23
4 : 0
Libya U23
20 Mar
Libya U23
2 : 0
Nigeria U23
08 Jul
Metz
1 : 0
Libya U23

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1