Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Amahoro, Kigali

Rwanda

2 - 1

Benin

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Imourane H.

38'

Niyigena C.

42'

Hountondji A.

Assist: Imourane H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rwanda in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Rwanda

15%

Draws

37%

Benin

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rwanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Benin average 0.96 goals a game right now, well clear of Rwanda's 0.93.
48% — that's where the model lands on Rwanda taking it.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Benin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Benin have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 53%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%

Rwanda Clean Sheet 68%

Benin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rwanda	Benin
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	10
Draws	6	6
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.93	0.96
Goals Conceded	1	1.39
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship

Rwanda vs Benin

0:1

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Rwanda vs Benin

2:1

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Benin vs Rwanda

3:0

Jun 6, 2024 World Championship

Benin vs Rwanda

1:0

Mar 29, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Rwanda vs Benin

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rwanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Nshuti I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Hountondji A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.65

Avg xA / game 0.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda 68 / 100

Benin 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rwanda Benin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RWA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benin let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rwanda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Rwanda scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda VS Benin

1 Goals Scored 0.88

0.57 Goals Conceded 1.75

43% Over 1.5 63%

29% Over 2.5 63%

14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda

(Home)

30 Mar

Rwanda

2 : 0

Estonia

27 Mar

Rwanda

4 : 0

Grenada

14 Oct

South Africa

3 : 0

Rwanda

10 Oct

Rwanda

0 : 1

Benin

09 Sept

Zimbabwe

0 : 1

Rwanda

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Benin

(Away)

09 Jun

Togo

5 : 1

Benin

05 Jun

Benin

1 : 1

Niger

31 Mar

Guinea

0 : 1

Benin

27 Mar

Benin

1 : 0

Liberia

05 Jan

Egypt

3 : 1

Benin

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