Sport Picks

Rwanda vs Benin Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Amahoro, Kigali

Rwanda

2 - 1

Benin

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Imourane H.

38'

Niyigena C.

42'

Hountondji A.

Assist: Imourane H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rwanda in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Rwanda

20%

Draws

32%

Benin

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rwanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Rwanda lately — more wins on the board than Benin.
48% — that's where the model lands on Rwanda taking it.
Rwanda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Benin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Benin have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 41%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%

Rwanda Clean Sheet 68%

Benin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rwanda	Benin
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	12	11
Draws	4	6
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.11	1
Goals Conceded	1	1.36
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship

Rwanda vs Benin

0:1

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Rwanda vs Benin

2:1

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Benin vs Rwanda

3:0

Jun 6, 2024 World Championship

Benin vs Rwanda

1:0

Mar 29, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Rwanda vs Benin

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rwanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Nshuti I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.61

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Hountondji A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.36

Avg xA / game 0.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda 95 / 100

Benin 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rwanda Benin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benin let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rwanda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Rwanda scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda VS Benin

1.57 Goals Scored 0.5

0.29 Goals Conceded 0.88

57% Over 1.5 25%

43% Over 2.5 25%

29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda

(Home)

29 Sept

Cape Verde

1 : 2

Rwanda

25 Sept

Rwanda

3 : 1

Liberia

30 Mar

Rwanda

2 : 0

Estonia

27 Mar

Rwanda

4 : 0

Grenada

14 Oct

South Africa

3 : 0

Rwanda

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Benin

(Away)

29 Sept

Benin

2 : 1

Mauritania

25 Sept

Burkina Faso

1 : 1

Benin

09 Jun

Togo

5 : 1

Benin

05 Jun

Benin

1 : 1

Niger

31 Mar

Guinea

0 : 1

Benin

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