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Rwanda vs Zanzibar

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zanzibar in this CECAFA Championship 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zanzibar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rwanda
20%
Draws
38%
Zanzibar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rwanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Zanzibar at 1.03 per game, Rwanda at 0.97.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CECAFA Championship 2012 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 20%
Zanzibar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda Zanzibar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2017 CECAFA Championship
Zanzibar vs Rwanda
3:1
Nov 29, 2012 CECAFA Championship
Rwanda vs Zanzibar
1:2
Dec 5, 2011 CECAFA Championship
Rwanda vs Zanzibar
2:1
Dec 3, 2010 CECAFA Championship
Zanzibar vs Rwanda
0:0
Jan 9, 2009 Friendly International
Rwanda vs Zanzibar
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda 31 / 100
Zanzibar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda Zanzibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zanzibar has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Rwanda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rwanda scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda VS Zanzibar
0.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 29%
13% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda

(Home)
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0
Rwanda
10 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 1
Benin
09 Sept
Zimbabwe
0 : 1
Rwanda
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Zanzibar

(Away)
31 Jul
Zanzibar
2 : 2
Nigeria
28 Jul
Zanzibar
0 : 0
Nigeria
13 Jan
Zanzibar
2 : 1
Burkina Faso
10 Jan
Zanzibar
1 : 0
Kenya
06 Jan
Zanzibar
0 : 1
Burkina Faso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Kenya 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Ethiopia 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 South Sudan 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship 2012 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Tanzania 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Sudan 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
4 Somalia 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship 2012 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Malawi 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Zanzibar 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Eritrea 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship 2012 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams