Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rwenzori Lions vs Iganga United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Rwenzori Lions and Iganga United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rwenzori Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Rwenzori Lions
15%
Draws
55%
Iganga United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iganga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Iganga United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Iganga United are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Rwenzori Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwenzori Lions Iganga United
Matches Played 3 28
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 0.33 0.96
Goals Conceded 2 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Big League
Rwenzori Lions vs Iganga United
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwenzori Lions 12 / 100
Iganga United 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwenzori Lions Iganga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iganga United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iganga United has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Rwenzori Lions found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (3 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Rwenzori Lions went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rwenzori Lions VS Iganga United
0.33 Goals Scored 0.25
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwenzori Lions

(Home)
04 Oct
Rwenzori Lions
1 : 0
Iganga United
27 Sept
Catda
2 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
18 Mar
Kampala City
4 : 0
Rwenzori Lions

Iganga United

(Away)
04 Oct
Rwenzori Lions
1 : 0
Iganga United
27 Sept
Iganga United
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Young Elephant Academy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Amus College FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pakwach Young Stars 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Kiyinda Boys 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Catda 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 SC Volcanoes 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Calvary 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Iganga United 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)