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Ryazan vs Sakhalin

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Panamarev N.
63' Event
Aksenov E.
66' Event
Zhuravlev G.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024 game between Ryazan and Sakhalin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ryazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Ryazan
20%
Draws
35%
Sakhalin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Ryazan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ryazan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 20%
Sakhalin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryazan Sakhalin
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 14 6
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Sakhalin
2:1
May 5, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sakhalin vs Ryazan
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sakhalin vs Ryazan
2:0
Sep 22, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Ryazan vs Sakhalin
3:2
Jul 24, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalin vs Ryazan
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Panamarev N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aksenov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Sakhalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhuravlev G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryazan 31 / 100
Sakhalin 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryazan Sakhalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ryazan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ryazan's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Sakhalin has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ryazan VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryazan

(Home)
15 Aug
Ryazan
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow 3
11 Aug
Kvant Obninsk
0 : 2
Ryazan
08 Aug
M. Lipetsk
0 : 0
Ryazan
26 Jul
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 5
Ryazan
04 Jul
Ryazan
3 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk 2
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Sakhalin

(Away)
03 Nov
Sakhalin
4 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Oct
Sakhalin
1 : 0
Penza
20 Oct
Sakhalin
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
12 Oct
FK Kompozit
2 : 2
Sakhalin
06 Oct
Khimki 2
1 : 0
Sakhalin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Vladivostok 28 20 3 5 42:17 63
2 Kosmos 28 16 6 6 45:23 54
3 FK Kompozit 28 16 6 6 59:40 54
4 Salyut-Belgorod 28 13 9 6 49:34 48
5 Spartak Tambov 28 12 8 8 37:28 44
6 Khimki 2 28 13 5 10 37:34 44
7 Sakhalin 28 12 6 10 29:24 42
8 Penza 28 10 7 11 34:35 37
9 Ryazan 28 9 8 11 33:31 35
10 FC Oryol 28 10 5 13 34:32 35
11 Strogino Moscow 28 9 4 15 24:38 31
12 Arsenal Tula 2 28 9 4 15 31:40 31
13 SKA Khabarovsk 2 28 7 6 15 38:50 27
14 FK Kolomna 28 5 6 17 22:56 21
15 Kvant Obninsk 28 4 7 17 19:51 19
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)