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Ryazan vs Spartak Tambov Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kuptsov D.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Pogrebnev N.
65' Event
Petrov R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Spartak Tambov in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ryazan
20%
Draws
45%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Tambov have won more games recently than Ryazan.
  • Model gives Spartak Tambov a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryazan Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 21
Draws 9 3
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.69 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Russian Cup
Ryazan vs Spartak Tambov
2:1
Jun 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Spartak Tambov
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Spartak Tambov
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Ryazan
1:0
Jul 28, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Ryazan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Pogrebnev N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Spartak Tambov Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryazan 24 / 100
Spartak Tambov 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryazan Spartak Tambov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Tambov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ryazan scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Ryazan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Spartak Tambov has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ryazan VS Spartak Tambov
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryazan

(Home)
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0 : 2
Ryazan
17 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
11 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
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Spartak Tambov

(Away)
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
19 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
2 : 2
Spartak Tambov
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
29 Aug
Spartak Tambov
3 : 1
M. Lipetsk
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