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Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium, Okinawa
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ishiura T.
16'
Oshima H.
34'
Sub
Tomidokoro Y. In: Ihori K.
Out: Tomidokoro Y.

AI Match Summary

Ryukyu in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ryukyu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Ryukyu
20%
Draws
11%
Gainare Tottori
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ryukyu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gainare Tottori lately — more wins on the board than Ryukyu.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Ryukyu taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 20%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryukyu Gainare Tottori
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 2 3
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori
5:2
May 17, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Ryukyu
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori
1:0
May 3, 2025 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Ryukyu
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryukyu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishiura T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suzuki J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Gainare Tottori Compare

Top Goalscorer Hombo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryukyu 85 / 100
Gainare Tottori 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryukyu Gainare Tottori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryukyu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainare Tottori let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ryukyu scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ryukyu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ryukyu VS Gainare Tottori
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryukyu

(Home)
03 Nov
Ryukyu
2 : 3
Gifu
31 Oct
Ryukyu
5 : 2
Gainare Tottori
24 Oct
Nara Club
1 : 3
Ryukyu
21 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Ryukyu
17 Oct
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

Gainare Tottori

(Away)
03 Nov
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
SC Sagamihara
31 Oct
Ryukyu
5 : 2
Gainare Tottori
25 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 0
Kochi United
21 Oct
Kumamoto
3 : 0
Gainare Tottori
17 Oct
Gainare Tottori
1 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 15 9 4 2 29:18 31
2 Nara Club 15 9 2 4 28:21 29
3 Gifu 15 9 1 5 28:15 28
4 SC Sagamihara 15 8 4 3 25:15 28
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15 8 3 4 20:12 27
6 FC Osaka 15 7 5 3 25:15 26
7 Ehime 15 8 2 5 30:25 26
8 Kumamoto 15 6 6 3 17:10 24
9 Ryukyu 15 7 2 6 23:20 23
10 Nagano Parceiro 15 7 2 6 22:20 23
11 Kanazawa 15 6 2 7 27:21 20
12 Giravanz Kitakyushu 15 5 4 6 21:23 19
13 Tochigi SC 15 4 6 5 14:16 18
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 15 4 5 6 15:17 17
15 Reilac Shiga 15 5 2 8 19:27 17
16 Fukushima United 15 4 3 8 27:32 15
17 Gainare Tottori 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 15 4 1 10 12:29 13
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 15 3 2 10 16:27 11
20 Kochi United 15 2 3 10 10:31 9
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)