Sport Picks
Ryukyu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan
J3 League Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium, Okinawa 
Match Events
49'
49'
Hiramatsu S.
52'
52'
Kato Y.
Assist: Ihori K.
61'
61'
Sub
Tomidokoro Y. In: Horiuchi H.
Out: Tomidokoro Y.
AI Match Summary
Ryukyu in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ryukyu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ryukyu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Giravanz Kitakyushu haven't matched Ryukyu's recent run of results.
- Model gives Ryukyu a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Giravanz Kitakyushu have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 16%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ryukyu | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ryukyu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
0:2
Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Ryukyu
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Ryukyu
2:1
May 17, 2025 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ryukyu Compare
Top Goalscorer Kato Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ishiura T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ryukyu 84 / 100
Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ryukyu Giravanz Kitakyushu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ryukyu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Giravanz Kitakyushu let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: Ryukyu scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Ryukyu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ryukyu VS Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ryukyu
(Home) 26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1 Ehime
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0 Ryukyu
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0 Kamatamare Sanuki
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0 Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Ryukyu
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26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1 Ehime
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0 Kamatamare Sanuki
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0 Giravanz Kitakyushu
02 Sept
Ryukyu
2 : 3 Yokohama FC
29 Aug
Ryukyu
2 : 1 SC Sagamihara
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Giravanz Kitakyushu
(Away) 26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4 Gainare Tottori
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0 Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Ehime
4 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0 Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Ehime
4 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
22 Aug
Tochigi SC
2 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
18 Jul
Yokohama FC
3 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Ehime | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 17 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Nara Club | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:16 | 14 |
| 6 | Gifu | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Kumamoto | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 8 | SC Sagamihara | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kanazawa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | 7 |
| 17 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 19 | Kochi United | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:18 | 5 |
| 20 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | 4 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
