Sport Picks

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S. Agata vs USD Ragusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ahmetaj M.
39' Event
Di Piedi F.
52' Event
Haberkon V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
S. Agata
35%
Draws
24%
USD Ragusa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: S. Agata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USD Ragusa lately — more wins on the board than S. Agata.
  • Win probability leans S. Agata's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 68%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Agata USD Ragusa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 14
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs USD Ragusa
2:2
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs S. Agata
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs USD Ragusa
1:0
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs S. Agata
0:1
Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs USD Ragusa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Piedi F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

USD Ragusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmetaj M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haberkon V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Agata 59 / 100
USD Ragusa 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Agata USD Ragusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Agata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

USD Ragusa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: S. Agata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS USD Ragusa
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Agata

(Home)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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USD Ragusa

(Away)
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2
ASD Modica Calcio
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
ACR Messina
03 May
USD Ragusa
1 : 2
Athletic Palermo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)