Sport Picks

S. Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia

Russian Cup Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl

Chelyabinsk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Russian Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. S. Kostroma have averaged 1.14 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Chelyabinsk's 1.07 scored and 1.56 conceded. Head-to-head, S. Kostroma have won 4 to Chelyabinsk's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.81) point toward S. Kostroma. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

S. Kostroma

20%

Draws

32%

Chelyabinsk

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to S. Kostroma lately — more wins on the board than Chelyabinsk.
Model gives S. Kostroma a 42% chance of winning this.
S. Kostroma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor S. Kostroma, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors S. Kostroma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 20%

Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	S. Kostroma	Chelyabinsk
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	11	5
Draws	9	10
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.14	1.07
Goals Conceded	1	1.56
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 FNL

Chelyabinsk vs S. Kostroma

0:1

Mar 7, 2026 FNL

Chelyabinsk vs S. Kostroma

3:3

Aug 17, 2025 FNL

S. Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk

2:1

May 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold

Chelyabinsk vs S. Kostroma

1:5

Mar 30, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold

S. Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 42 / 100

Chelyabinsk 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

S. Kostroma Chelyabinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelyabinsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

S. Kostroma scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

S. Kostroma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Chelyabinsk

1.25 Goals Scored 1

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Kostroma

(Home)

26 Sept

S. Kostroma

1 : 2

Ural

18 Sept

Ulyanovsk

0 : 1

S. Kostroma

14 Sept

S. Kostroma

1 : 0

Neftekhimik

08 Sept

Ryazan

0 : 2

S. Kostroma

05 Sept

Chelyabinsk

0 : 1

S. Kostroma

Page 1 of 6

Chelyabinsk

(Away)

26 Sept

Chelyabinsk

1 : 1

Yenisey

18 Sept

Chelyabinsk

2 : 1

Ufa

14 Sept

Kamaz

1 : 1

Chelyabinsk

10 Sept

Dynamo Barnaul

0 : 2

Chelyabinsk

05 Sept

Chelyabinsk

0 : 1

S. Kostroma

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Ilpar FC 1

Metallurg Asha 0

TBD -

Saratov -

Khimik -

TBD -

Nosta -

TBD -

Leningradets -

Zvezda St Peterburg -

TBD -

Luki-Energiya -

Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0

FK Tosno 3

TBD -

Cherepovets -

TBD -

Ural -

Kristall 2

Krasnoye Znamya 3

TBD -

D. Bryansk -

Strogino Moscow -

TBD -

Vladimir -

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar -

TBD -

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod -

Bomik 1

Broke Boys 2

TBD -

Kirov -

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan -

TBD -

Mashuk -

Nart Cherkessk -

TBD -

Dynamo Stavropol -

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -

TBD -

Anzhi 1

Izberbash 5

Angust Nazran -

TBD -

Maykop -

TBD -

Yenisey -

TBD -

Kursk -

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3

Salyut-Belgorod 0

Kaluga -

TBD -

Iskra Smolensk -

TBD -

Ufa -

Chita 3

FC Irkutsk 0

TBD -

FC Chertanovo Moscow -

Temp Barnaul 3

KDV Tomsk 4

TBD -

Sibir Novosibirsk -

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan -

TBD -

FK Pobeda -

Spartak Nalchik -

TBD -

Alania Vladikavkaz -

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom -

TBD -

M. Lipetsk -

TBD -

FK Shumbrat Saransk -

2Drots 2

FC Oryol 0

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

FC 10 3

Kosmos 2

TBD -

Dynamo Petersburg -

Dynamo Vologda -

TBD -

FK Tver -

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya -

TBD -

Tyumen -

FK Izhevsk -

TBD -

Torpedo Miass -

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

SKA Rostov-on-Don 3

Penza 2

TBD -

Spartak Tambov -

Kvant Obninsk -

TBD -

Ryazan -

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk -

TBD -

Saturn Ramenskoye -

Anri Vladivostok 1

Dynamo Barnaul 2

TBD -

Dynamo Vladivostok -

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

1/16-finals

Ilpar FC 1

Saratov 3

Khimik 2

Nosta 3

TBD -

Leningradets -

Zvezda St Peterburg 1

Luki-Energiya 2

FK Tosno 0

Cherepovets 1

TBD -

Ural -

Krasnoye Znamya 2

D. Bryansk 0

Strogino Moscow 0

Vladimir 3

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar 2

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0

Broke Boys 0

Kirov 2

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan 2

Mashuk 1

Nart Cherkessk 1

Dynamo Stavropol 2

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0

Izberbash 3

Angust Nazran 0

Maykop 1

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kursk 2

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1

Kaluga 5

Iskra Smolensk 0

TBD -

Ufa -

Chita 0

FC Chertanovo Moscow 3

KDV Tomsk 3

Sibir Novosibirsk 2

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2

FK Pobeda 0

Spartak Nalchik 4

Alania Vladikavkaz 3

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom 1

M. Lipetsk 0

FK Shumbrat Saransk 1

2Drots 2

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

FC 10 1

Dynamo Petersburg 2

Dynamo Vologda 2

FK Tver 0

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

Tyumen 1

FK Izhevsk 1

Torpedo Miass 2

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

SKA Rostov-on-Don 1

Spartak Tambov 2

Kvant Obninsk 0

Ryazan 2

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk 2

Saturn Ramenskoye 1

Dynamo Barnaul 1

Dynamo Vladivostok 0

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

1/8-finals

Saratov 2

Nosta 1

TBD -

Leningradets -

Luki-Energiya 4

Cherepovets 1

TBD -

Ural -

Krasnoye Znamya 1

Vladimir 0

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar 4

Kirov 5

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan 0

Dynamo Stavropol 1

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

Izberbash 1

Maykop 2

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kursk 1

Kaluga 2

TBD -

Ufa -

FC Chertanovo Moscow 4

KDV Tomsk 2

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3

Spartak Nalchik 0

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom 3

2Drots 0

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

Dynamo Petersburg 2

Dynamo Vologda 1

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1

Torpedo Miass 0

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

Spartak Tambov 1

Ryazan 2

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk 0

Dynamo Barnaul 5

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

Quarter-finals

Saratov 1

Leningradets 2

Luki-Energiya 2

Ural 1

Krasnoye Znamya 0

SKA Khabarovsk 4

Kirov 1

Kamaz 0

Dynamo Stavropol 1

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2

Shinnik Yaroslavl 2

Torpedo Moscow 0

Maykop 1

Yenisey 2

Kaluga 1

Ufa 0

FC Chertanovo Moscow 2

Neftekhimik 1

Tekstilshtik 1

Arsenal Tula 0

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 0

Ulyanovsk 1

FC Murom 1

Veles Moscow 0

Dynamo Petersburg 2

PFC Sochi 0

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

R. Volgograd 0

Ryazan 0

S. Kostroma 2

Dynamo Barnaul 0

Chelyabinsk 2

Semi-finals

Leningradets -

Luki-Energiya -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Kirov -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

Yenisey -

Kaluga -

FC Chertanovo Moscow -

Tekstilshtik -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom -

Dynamo Petersburg -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya -

S. Kostroma -

Chelyabinsk -

Final

TBD -

S. Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia

S. Kostroma

Chelyabinsk

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

S. Kostroma

Chelyabinsk

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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