Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Troyanov K.
46'
46'
Sub
Demchenko N. In: Kamilov V.
Out: Demchenko N.
50'
50'
Kalmykov A.
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between S. Kostroma and Ufa finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: S. Kostroma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and S. Kostroma come out ahead of Ufa on wins alone.
- Win probability leans S. Kostroma's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%
Ufa Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | S. Kostroma | Ufa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Ufa
1:1
May 16, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Ufa
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
S. Kostroma vs Ufa
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs S. Kostroma
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
S. Kostroma vs Ufa
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
S. Kostroma Compare
Top Goalscorer Kalmykov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Ufa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
S. Kostroma 95 / 100
Ufa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
S. Kostroma Ufa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: S. Kostroma stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: S. Kostroma scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Ufa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
S. Kostroma VS Ufa
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
S. Kostroma
(Home) 18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2 S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 R. Volgograd
17 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 1 Ufa
01 Aug
S. Kostroma
2 : 2 Yenisey
12 Jul
S. Kostroma
3 : 1 Kamaz
Page 1 of 3
Ufa
(Away) 18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0 Ufa
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ufa
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0 Ufa
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ufa
17 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 1 Ufa
08 Aug
Ural
3 : 0 Ufa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | S. Kostroma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 24 |
| 3 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Veles Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Ural | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18:5 | 22 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:9 | 20 |
| 7 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Ufa | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 12 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 13 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 15 | Leningradets | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9:20 | 10 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
