Sport Picks

Stadium Background

S. Kostroma vs Ural

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Urozhay, Karavaevo
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

S. Kostroma host Ural in the FNL. Little to choose between these two on current form. S. Kostroma have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Ural's 1.52 scored and 0.83 conceded. Head-to-head, S. Kostroma have won 0 to Ural's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.31) back Ural to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
S. Kostroma
20%
Draws
28%
Ural
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • S. Kostroma haven't matched Ural's recent run of results.
  • Model gives S. Kostroma a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%
Ural Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Kostroma Ural
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 FNL
Ural vs S. Kostroma
1:1
Sep 4, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Ural
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 68 / 100
Ural 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Kostroma Ural

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: S. Kostroma scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ural conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Ural
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Kostroma

(Home)
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
R. Volgograd
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Ural

(Away)
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
Ural
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 S. Kostroma 11 7 3 1 15:8 24
3 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Veles Moscow 12 7 2 3 16:14 23
5 Ural 11 6 4 1 18:5 22
6 Torpedo Moscow 11 6 2 3 21:9 20
7 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
8 Ufa 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 11 3 6 2 15:13 15
10 Yenisey 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
11 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
12 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
13 Chelyabinsk 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
14 Ulyanovsk 11 3 2 6 14:17 11
15 Leningradets 11 2 4 5 9:20 10
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)