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S. Kostroma vs Yenisey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Urozhay, Karavaevo
S. Kostroma Logo

S. Kostroma

2 - 2
FT
Yenisey Logo

Yenisey

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kalmykov A.
32' Event
Maslovskiy A.
46'
Sub
Ghurtskaia D. In: Karaev D.
Out: Ghurtskaia D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between S. Kostroma and Yenisey finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
S. Kostroma
15%
Draws
37%
Yenisey
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yenisey come out ahead of S. Kostroma on wins alone.
  • Model gives S. Kostroma a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Kostroma Yenisey
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.18 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Yenisey
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Yenisey
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 FNL
Yenisey vs S. Kostroma
1:0
Sep 26, 2024 Russian Cup
S. Kostroma vs Yenisey
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmykov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Yenisey Compare

Top Goalscorer Maslovskiy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tlekhugov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 95 / 100
Yenisey 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Kostroma Yenisey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Yenisey conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: S. Kostroma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Yenisey
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Kostroma

(Home)
09 Oct
Arsenal Tula
3 : 2
S. Kostroma
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
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Yenisey

(Away)
10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0
Yenisey
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
5 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
10 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
13 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
14 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
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