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S. Morning vs Provincial Ovalle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal de La Pintana, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Faundez D.
39'
Contreras S.
46'
Sub
Faundez D. In: Manriquez Hernandez F.
Out: Faundez D.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between S. Morning and Provincial Ovalle finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
S. Morning
35%
Draws
35%
Provincial Ovalle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Provincial Ovalle come out ahead of S. Morning on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans S. Morning's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
S. Morning Clean Sheet 68%
Provincial Ovalle Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Morning Provincial Ovalle
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Segunda Division
S. Morning vs Provincial Ovalle
0:0
Aug 21, 2005 Liga de Ascenso
Provincial Ovalle vs S. Morning
1:2
May 23, 2005 Liga de Ascenso
S. Morning vs Provincial Ovalle
3:2
Aug 9, 2003 Liga de Ascenso
Provincial Ovalle vs S. Morning
0:0
Apr 17, 2003 Liga de Ascenso
S. Morning vs Provincial Ovalle
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Morning 68 / 100
Provincial Ovalle 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Morning Provincial Ovalle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Morning Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: S. Morning stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: S. Morning scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Provincial Ovalle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

S. Morning VS Provincial Ovalle
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Morning

(Home)
12 Sept
S. Morning
0 : 0
General Velasquez
06 Sept
Deportes Rengo
2 : 2
S. Morning
30 Aug
S. Morning
0 : 0
Provincial Ovalle
22 Aug
Lota Schwager
1 : 1
S. Morning
17 Aug
S. Morning
2 : 1
Atletico Colina
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Provincial Ovalle

(Away)
03 Oct
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 5
Deportes Rengo
26 Sept
Lota Schwager
1 : 2
Provincial Ovalle
07 Sept
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 0
Atletico Colina
30 Aug
S. Morning
0 : 0
Provincial Ovalle
22 Aug
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1
Real San Joaquin
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