Sport Picks

Chile

Primera Division Women 2025

S. Wanderers W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

S. Morning W play S. Wanderers W in the Primera Division Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, S. Morning W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. S. Wanderers W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, S. Morning W won 1, S. Wanderers W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 25, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for S. Morning W and 2.56 for S. Wanderers W. This points to a S. Morning W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

S. Morning W

17%

Draws

40%

S. Wanderers W

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: S. Morning W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

S. Morning W picked up more points recently compared to S. Wanderers W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

S. Morning W Clean Sheet 10%

S. Wanderers W Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	S. Morning W	S. Wanderers W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	9
Draws	4	6
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	1.23	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.7
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2025 Primera Division Women

S. Morning W vs S. Wanderers W

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Mar 30, 2025 Primera Division Women

S. Wanderers W vs S. Morning W

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Morning W Compare

Top Goalscorer Luna D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

S. Wanderers W Compare

Top Goalscorer Donato G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Morning W 41 / 100

S. Wanderers W 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

S. Morning W S. Wanderers W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: S. Morning W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

S. Morning W attacking → ← attacking S. Wanderers W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Morning W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

S. Wanderers W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

S. Morning W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

S. Wanderers W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 33

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo W	26	26	0	0	133:5	78
2	U. De Chile W	26	21	2	3	75:21	65
3	U. Espanola W	26	15	6	5	41:21	51
4	Coquimbo W	26	15	5	6	57:29	50
5	U. Catolica W	26	14	3	9	60:25	45
6	Deportes Iquique W	26	13	6	7	42:26	45
7	Huachipato W	26	11	3	12	34:49	36
8	Palestino W	26	9	5	12	40:43	32
9	S. Wanderers W	26	9	7	10	40:45	28
10	S. Morning W	26	9	4	13	29:52	28
11	U. De Concepcion W	26	4	6	16	24:55	18
12	Recoleta W	26	4	3	19	14:81	15
13	Everton W	26	3	5	18	19:69	14
14	A. Italiano W	26	0	3	23	19:106	3