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S. Rzeszow vs Lechia Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie, Rzeszow
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

S. Rzeszow host Lechia Gdansk in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. Lechia Gdansk have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while S. Rzeszow have conceded 1.97 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, S. Rzeszow have won 1 to Lechia Gdansk's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2024, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.69) back Lechia Gdansk to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
S. Rzeszow
15%
Draws
41%
Lechia Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Rzeszow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Lechia Gdansk have won more games recently than S. Rzeszow.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
S. Rzeszow Clean Sheet 13%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Rzeszow Lechia Gdansk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Division 1
S. Rzeszow vs Lechia Gdansk
4:2
Oct 28, 2023 Division 1
Lechia Gdansk vs S. Rzeszow
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Rzeszow 35 / 100
Lechia Gdansk 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Rzeszow Lechia Gdansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lechia Gdansk conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: S. Rzeszow stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

S. Rzeszow found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

S. Rzeszow VS Lechia Gdansk
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Rzeszow

(Home)
02 Oct
MFK Karvina
1 : 1
S. Rzeszow
19 Sept
Legnica
2 : 3
S. Rzeszow
13 Sept
Odra Opole
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
01 Sept
S. Rzeszow
3 : 0
Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6

Lechia Gdansk

(Away)
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2
Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
15 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
16 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
17 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)