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Stadium Background

S. Rzeszow vs Polonia Warszawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie, Rzeszow
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Goss S.
Assist: Pukala S.
15'
Budnicki J.
21'
Goss S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between S. Rzeszow and Polonia Warszawa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward S. Rzeszow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
S. Rzeszow
20%
Draws
35%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: S. Rzeszow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Polonia Warszawa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on S. Rzeszow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
S. Rzeszow Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Rzeszow Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1
S. Rzeszow vs Polonia Warszawa
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 Division 1
S. Rzeszow vs Polonia Warszawa
0:2
Oct 3, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs S. Rzeszow
2:3
May 10, 2025 Division 1
S. Rzeszow vs Polonia Warszawa
1:2
Nov 4, 2024 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs S. Rzeszow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Rzeszow Compare

Top Goalscorer Goss S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brzek W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Durmus I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Rzeszow 42 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Rzeszow Polonia Warszawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Warszawa let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

S. Rzeszow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

S. Rzeszow's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

S. Rzeszow VS Polonia Warszawa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Rzeszow

(Home)
02 Oct
MFK Karvina
1 : 1
S. Rzeszow
19 Sept
Legnica
2 : 3
S. Rzeszow
13 Sept
Odra Opole
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
01 Sept
S. Rzeszow
3 : 0
Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Warszawa

(Away)
10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0
Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2
Polonia Bytom
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Warta Poznan 10 5 0 5 18:15 15
6 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
15 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
16 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
17 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)