Sport Picks
S. Wanderers vs D. Puerto Montt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso 
Match Events
21'
21'
Herrera A.
33'
33'
Camarda M.
35'
35'
Sub
Camarda M. In: Luna J.
Out: Camarda M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between S. Wanderers and D. Puerto Montt finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- D. Puerto Montt have managed 1 goals a game lately — S. Wanderers are scoring more at 1.54.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | S. Wanderers | D. Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs D. Puerto Montt
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs S. Wanderers
0:2
Jul 15, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs S. Wanderers
0:2
Feb 26, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs D. Puerto Montt
3:1
Aug 28, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs S. Wanderers
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
S. Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Camarda M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
D. Puerto Montt Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
S. Wanderers 41 / 100
D. Puerto Montt 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
S. Wanderers D. Puerto Montt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick S. Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
S. Wanderers's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
D. Puerto Montt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
D. Puerto Montt lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
S. Wanderers VS D. Puerto Montt
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
S. Wanderers
(Home) 03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1 S. Wanderers
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0 S. Wanderers
08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0 S. Wanderers
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0 Deportes Iquique
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0 Deportes Iquique
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
16 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
08 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
05 Aug
S. Wanderers
0 : 4 Union La Calera
Page 1 of 3
D. Puerto Montt
(Away) 03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1 Colo Colo
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
30 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
16 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 4 | S. Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:30 | 44 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:40 | 27 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28:42 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
