Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso

S. Wanderers

0 - 4

Union La Calera

Our Tip

Match Events

Campos M.

Assist: Cruz J.

11'

Leiva Y.

Assist: Maturana M.

30'

Sub

Vera V. In: Espinoza V.

Out: Vera V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

S. Wanderers

30%

Draws

29%

Union La Calera

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: S. Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

S. Wanderers's 1.74 goals per match outpaces what Union La Calera have produced (1.29).
42% — that's where the model lands on S. Wanderers taking it.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Union La Calera, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Union La Calera here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 12%

Union La Calera Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	S. Wanderers	Union La Calera
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	10	10
Draws	7	8
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1.74	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.32
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Copa Chile

S. Wanderers vs Union La Calera

0:4

Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile

Union La Calera vs S. Wanderers

4:0

Sep 8, 2021 Liga de Primera

Union La Calera vs S. Wanderers

0:1

Apr 11, 2021 Liga de Primera

S. Wanderers vs Union La Calera

1:2

Jan 2, 2021 Liga de Primera

Union La Calera vs S. Wanderers

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Union La Calera Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Leiva Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Wanderers 40 / 100

Union La Calera 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

S. Wanderers Union La Calera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Wanderers found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Union La Calera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

S. Wanderers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

S. Wanderers VS Union La Calera

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Wanderers

(Home)

08 Aug

S. Wanderers

1 : 1

San Marcos de Arica

05 Aug

S. Wanderers

0 : 4

Union La Calera

02 Aug

Deportes Santa Cruz

1 : 3

S. Wanderers

25 Jul

S. Wanderers

2 : 0

San Felipe

05 Jul

S. Wanderers

2 : 3

U. De Chile

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Union La Calera

(Away)

05 Aug

S. Wanderers

0 : 4

Union La Calera

01 Aug

Cobresal

4 : 0

Union La Calera

27 Jul

Union La Calera

1 : 1

Everton

12 Jul

Coquimbo

1 : 1

Union La Calera

08 Jul

Union La Calera

0 : 1

Coquimbo

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