Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso

S. Wanderers

0 - 4

Union La Calera

Our Tip

Match Events

Campos M.

Assist: Cruz J.

11'

Leiva Y.

Assist: Maturana M.

30'

Sub

Vera V. In: Espinoza V.

Out: Vera V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

S. Wanderers

30%

Draws

23%

Union La Calera

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: S. Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

S. Wanderers carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
S. Wanderers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Union La Calera, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Union La Calera here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 20%

Union La Calera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	S. Wanderers	Union La Calera
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	9
Draws	8	9
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.59	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Copa Chile

S. Wanderers vs Union La Calera

0:4

Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile

Union La Calera vs S. Wanderers

4:0

Sep 8, 2021 Liga de Primera

Union La Calera vs S. Wanderers

0:1

Apr 11, 2021 Liga de Primera

S. Wanderers vs Union La Calera

1:2

Jan 2, 2021 Liga de Primera

Union La Calera vs S. Wanderers

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Union La Calera Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Leiva Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Wanderers 31 / 100

Union La Calera 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

S. Wanderers Union La Calera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Wanderers Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Wanderers found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Union La Calera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

S. Wanderers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

S. Wanderers VS Union La Calera

1.13 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Wanderers

(Home)

08 Sept

Deportes Temuco

3 : 0

S. Wanderers

04 Sept

S. Wanderers

1 : 0

Deportes Iquique

29 Aug

S. Wanderers

2 : 1

Magallanes

24 Aug

San Luis

0 : 1

S. Wanderers

16 Aug

S. Wanderers

1 : 1

D. Puerto Montt

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Union La Calera

(Away)

23 Sept

Union La Calera

1 : 1

U. Catolica

14 Sept

Union La Calera

1 : 0

Limache

06 Sept

O Higgins

2 : 1

Union La Calera

31 Aug

Union La Calera

0 : 1

La Serena

22 Aug

A. Italiano

0 : 0

Union La Calera

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