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Stadium Background

Saarbrucken vs Duisburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Ludwigspark Stadion, Saarbrücken
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saarbrucken host Duisburg in the 3. Liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Saarbrucken at 2.03 goals for, 1.41 against; Duisburg at 1.93 for, 1.29 against. Past meetings favor Duisburg slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.88 - 2.13) back Duisburg to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Saarbrucken
15%
Draws
46%
Duisburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Duisburg have won more games recently than Saarbrucken.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Saarbrucken Clean Sheet 10%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saarbrucken Duisburg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.03 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Saarbrucken
4:2
Sep 30, 2025 3. Liga
Saarbrucken vs Duisburg
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Saarbrucken
2:0
Nov 29, 2023 3. Liga
Saarbrucken vs Duisburg
0:0
May 21, 2023 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Saarbrucken
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saarbrucken 34 / 100
Duisburg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saarbrucken Duisburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duisburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saarbrucken scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Duisburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Saarbrucken stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saarbrucken VS Duisburg
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saarbrucken

(Home)
02 Oct
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Nancy
19 Sept
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
16 Sept
Preussen Munster
3 : 3
Saarbrucken
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
05 Sept
Meppen
1 : 6
Saarbrucken
Page 1 of 6

Duisburg

(Away)
20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4
Duisburg
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
29 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0
Wurzburger Kickers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)