Sport Picks
Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt
Germany
3. Liga 2025/2026 Ludwigspark Stadion, Saarbrücken 
Match Events
11'
11'
Vasiliadis S.
46'
46'
Sub
Rosenlocher L. In: Christensen G.
Out: Rosenlocher L.
58'
58'
Sub
Vasiliadis S. In: Caliskaner K.
Out: Vasiliadis S.
AI Match Summary
Saarbrucken in this 3. Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saarbrucken.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Saarbrucken
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ingolstadt lately — more wins on the board than Saarbrucken.
- Win probability leans Saarbrucken's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ingolstadt have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Saarbrucken Clean Sheet 14%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saarbrucken | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 3. Liga
Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Saarbrucken
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Saarbrucken
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 3. Liga
Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt
2:3
Jan 27, 2024 3. Liga
Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saarbrucken Compare
Top Goalscorer Vasiliadis S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Ingolstadt Compare
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saarbrucken 39 / 100
Ingolstadt 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saarbrucken Ingolstadt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Saarbrucken scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Ingolstadt let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Saarbrucken remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Saarbrucken VS Ingolstadt
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Saarbrucken
(Home) 18 Jul
Sandhausen
0 : 0 Saarbrucken
08 Jul
Saarbrucken
11 : 0 SV Geislautern
04 Jul
SpVgg Quierschied
0 : 2 Saarbrucken
16 May
Saarbrucken
3 : 4 Hansa Rostock
10 May
Hoffenheim II
3 : 2 Saarbrucken
Page 1 of 7
08 Jul
Saarbrucken
11 : 0 SV Geislautern
16 May
Saarbrucken
3 : 4 Hansa Rostock
02 May
Saarbrucken
2 : 0 Mannheim
18 Apr
Saarbrucken
0 : 0 Munich 1860
08 Apr
Saarbrucken
1 : 1 Alemannia Aachen
Page 1 of 3
Ingolstadt
(Away) 18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0 Palermo
09 Jul
Ingolstadt
2 : 0 LASK Linz
04 Jul
Ingolstadt
2 : 0 Vfb Eichstatt
16 May
Ingolstadt
5 : 1 Mannheim
09 May
Munich 1860
1 : 2 Ingolstadt
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Munich 1860
1 : 2 Ingolstadt
25 Apr
Hoffenheim II
0 : 3 Ingolstadt
11 Apr
RW Essen
4 : 1 Ingolstadt
05 Apr
Saarbrucken
1 : 0 Ingolstadt
15 Mar
Ulm
1 : 3 Ingolstadt
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 80 |
| 2 | Energie Cottbus | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 72 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 70 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 68 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 67 |
| 6 | Verl | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 64 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 64 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Viktoria Koln | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 49 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | 49 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart II | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | 46 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | 44 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | 43 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | 35 |
| 18 | Aue | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | 34 |
| 19 | Ulm | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | 33 |
| 20 | 1. FC Schweinfurt | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | 21 |
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)