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SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS vs FC Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Alt R.
88' Event
Undrest M.
Own Goal
90' Event
Ismael S.

AI Match Summary

SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS host FC Tartu in the Estonian Cup 2013/2014. This has FC Tartu written all over it on paper. SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS have averaged 1.88 scored and 3.38 conceded recently, against FC Tartu's 3.38 scored and 2.38 conceded. Head-to-head, SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS have won 0 to FC Tartu's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2013, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 3.38, favoring FC Tartu. FC Tartu in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS
17%
Draws
13%
FC Tartu
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Tartu has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS.
  • Cup tournament structure in Estonian Cup 2013/2014 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80%
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS Clean Sheet 10%
FC Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS FC Tartu
Matches Played 8 12
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.88 3.38
Goals Conceded 3.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2013 Estonian Cup
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS vs FC Tartu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS Compare

Top Goalscorer Alt R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismael S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 65 / 100
FC Tartu 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS FC Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS scored in 100% of their last 7 games.

FC Tartu let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Tartu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS VS FC Tartu
1.88 Goals Scored 3.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FCI Tallinn9
Castovanni Eagles0
Rakvere3
Tallinna Kalev5
Viimsi MRJK-
TBD-
Rada Kuusalu1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve3
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS-
TBD-
TBD-
Smuuli-
Igiliikur1
FC KIIU0
TBD-
FC Tartu-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Taaksi-
Trummi7
Helios4
Pokkeriprod1
FC Ararat6
Jarva-Jaani-
TBD-
Pirita-
Merkuur Tartu-
Lasnamae5
Saku Sporting0
TBD-
Puuma-
Tammeka Tartu II4
Soccernet0
Tallinna Kalev III0
Elva1
Ambla5
Loo JK3
Rakvere Wiswald0
FCI Tallinn II7
Vaatsa Vald-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Jalgpallihaigla-
IAFA Estonia-
TBD-
Tartu Harrastajad0
Saue JK Laagri9
Flora18
Reaal0
Tallinna Dnipro0
Sillamae Kalev11
Imavere Forss4
Tapa1
Olympic Tallinn0
Tulevik4
Kalju14
Puhajarve Revali0
TBD-
Kohtla-Nomme-
Lihula JK7
Lelle1
Voru0
Levadia11
Viimsi JK4
Kaitseliit0
Jogeva1
Ulikool Tallinn2
Maardu Linnameeskond3
Metropool Parnu1
TBD-
Tammeka Tartu-
Legion-
Kose JK-
Ganvix Turi0
Eston Villa1
Navi Vutiselts5
Kaitseliit II1
Torva JK1
Tartu SK 106
Parnu Linnameeskond3
Kalju III1
TBD-
FC Balteco-
Tartu Ulikool-
Taebla-
Dinamo Tallinn1
Otepaa2
Nomme Utd1
SK EPMU Tartu0
TBD-
Haiba-
Shnelli3
Raudteetoolised2
Parnu-Jaagupi-
Johvi Phoenix-
Kuressaare3
Kadakas0
Roosad Pantrid1
JK Poseidon8
Oismae Torm4
Eesti Vaitlusselts0
Valga Warrior1
Tallinn Piraaja3
Tartu SK 10 II4
Maccabi2
TBD-
Toompea-
Rummu Dunamo2
Tallinna Kalev II0
Twister Tallinn0
Paide Linnameeskond5
Kivioli Irbis4
Kose1
Leisi2
FC Lootos Polva5
Rapla6
Donkers0
Kalju II0
Raasiku Joker1
Narva11
Retro1
TBD-
Flora Tallinn U21-
Tartu Tehased3
Eestimaa Kasakad2
Vandra Vaprus1
Santos Tartu3
1/32-finals
FCI Tallinn2
Tallinna Kalev1
Viimsi MRJK0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve5
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS5
Smuuli1
Igiliikur0
FC Tartu4
Tartu JK Welco5
SK Taaksi2
Trummi1
FC Ararat2
Jarva-Jaani2
Merkuur Tartu0
Lasnamae1
Puuma5
Tammeka Tartu II2
Elva1
Ambla1
FCI Tallinn II8
Vaatsa Vald2
JK Jalgpallihaigla1
IAFA Estonia1
Saue JK Laagri2
Flora1
Sillamae Kalev0
Imavere Forss0
Tulevik1
Kalju14
Kohtla-Nomme0
Lihula JK0
Levadia8
Viimsi JK1
Ulikool Tallinn0
Maardu Linnameeskond1
Tammeka Tartu5
Legion8
Eston Villa0
Navi Vutiselts0
Tartu SK 107
Parnu Linnameeskond7
FC Balteco1
Tartu Ulikool0
Otepaa3
Nomme Utd7
Haiba1
Shnelli0
Johvi Phoenix13
Kuressaare6
JK Poseidon1
Oismae Torm0
Tallinn Piraaja6
Tartu SK 10 II-
Toompea-
Rummu Dunamo2
Paide Linnameeskond5
Kivioli Irbis7
FC Lootos Polva1
Rapla0
Raasiku Joker9
Narva4
Flora Tallinn U212
Tartu Tehased0
Santos Tartu8
1/16-finals
FCI Tallinn6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve0
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS1
FC Tartu2
Tartu JK Welco2
FC Ararat1
Jarva-Jaani1
Puuma8
Tammeka Tartu II2
FCI Tallinn II1
Vaatsa Vald0
Saue JK Laagri4
Flora2
Tulevik1
Kalju1
Levadia3
Viimsi JK3
Tammeka Tartu1
Legion1
Tartu SK 102
Parnu Linnameeskond4
Otepaa1
Nomme Utd2
Johvi Phoenix6
Kuressaare1
Tallinn Piraaja0
Tartu SK 10 II1
Paide Linnameeskond6
Kivioli Irbis5
Raasiku Joker1
Narva0
Santos Tartu1
1/8-finals
FCI Tallinn6
FC Tartu1
Tartu JK Welco3
Puuma4
Tammeka Tartu II6
Saue JK Laagri0
Flora0
Levadia2
Viimsi JK1
Tartu SK 100
Parnu Linnameeskond0
Johvi Phoenix1
Kuressaare1
Paide Linnameeskond0
Kivioli Irbis0
Santos Tartu11
Quarter-finals
FCI Tallinn2
Puuma0
Tammeka Tartu II-
Levadia-
Viimsi JK1
Johvi Phoenix0
Kuressaare1
Santos Tartu3
Semi-finals
FCI Tallinn0
Levadia1
Viimsi JK1
Santos Tartu3
Final
Levadia4
Santos Tartu0