Sport Picks

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Sabah Baku vs Gabala

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup Bank Respublika Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Massoumou D. J.
Penalty Missed
45'
Sekidika J.
64'
Sub
Owusu P. In: Ba Loua A.
Out: Owusu P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Azerbaijan Cup matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sabah Baku
39%
Draws
30%
Gabala
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabah Baku lately — more wins on the board than Gabala.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Cup games in Azerbaijan Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sabah Baku here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 20%
Gabala Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Baku Gabala
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 26 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Gabala
7:1
Mar 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Gabala vs Sabah Baku
3:4
Feb 16, 2026 Premier League
Gabala vs Sabah Baku
0:1
Feb 4, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Sabah Baku vs Gabala
0:0
Nov 3, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Gabala
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 32 / 100
Gabala 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Baku Gabala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sabah Baku scored in 92% of their last 36 outings.

Gabala has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Sabah Baku remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS Gabala
1.63 Goals Scored 1.29
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sabail0
Shamakhi1
Goygol0
Baku Sporting2
Qarabag Agdam-
TBD-
Karvan3
Sheki City1
Lokbatan2
Imisli FK3
TBD-
Sabah Baku-
Gabala5
Mingachevir1
Cebrayil0
Safa Baku3
Shimal0
Sahdag Qusar2
Dinamo Baki0
Turan5
Araz PFK-
TBD-
Kapaz6
Agstafa Gencleri1
FC Khankendi1
Difai Agsu2
Zaqatala PFK0
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK-
TBD-
Neftci Baku6
MOIK Baku2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi1
Baku Sporting0
Qarabag Agdam3
Karvan0
Imisli FK1
Sabah Baku2
Gabala2
Safa Baku1
Sahdag Qusar1
Turan2
Araz PFK0
Kapaz1
Difai Agsu1
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK1
Neftci Baku0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi3
Qarabag Agdam4
Sabah Baku4
Gabala3
Turan3
Kapaz0
SumQayit FK0
Zira FK2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam3
Sabah Baku4
Turan0
Zira FK2
Final
Sabah Baku2
Zira FK1