Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sabah Baku vs KuPS

Europe Europe

Champions League Bank Respublika Arena, Masazır
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Rakhmonaliyev U.
45' Event
Simic V.
Assist: Lepinjica I.
46'
Sub
Engvall G. In: Touray S.
Out: Engvall G.

AI Match Summary

Sabah Baku in this Champions League tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sabah Baku
39%
Draws
31%
KuPS
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • KuPS haven't matched Sabah Baku's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Sabah Baku have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sabah Baku, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 16%
KuPS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Baku KuPS
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 20 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Champions League
KuPS vs Sabah Baku
0:2
Jul 21, 2026 Champions League
Sabah Baku vs KuPS
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Simic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

KuPS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 30 / 100
KuPS 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Baku KuPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah Baku found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sabah Baku stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

KuPS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS KuPS
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabah Baku

(Home)
21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0
KuPS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
TNS
02 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
4 : 1
Sabah Baku
28 Jun
Ferencvaros
1 : 1
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 6

KuPS

(Away)
21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0
KuPS
18 Jul
SJK
0 : 2
KuPS
14 Jul
KuPS
2 : 3
Vardar
07 Jul
Vardar
0 : 2
KuPS
27 Jun
HJK
0 : 4
KuPS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Thun3
Din. Zagreb4
Klaksvik0
FK Kauno Zalgiris0
Mjallby3
Lincoln Red Imps0
Iberia 19990
Slovan Bratislava2
Levski Sofia1
Univ. Craiova0
Omonia1
Kairat Almaty0
Aarhus1
Lech Poznan4
Sabah Baku3
KuPS0
Ararat-Armenia3
Shamrock Rovers2
KF Egnatia5
Celje6
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
Larne0
Crvena zvezda4
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce1
Gornik Zabrze0
Sturm Graz6
Hearts0
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
Din. Zagreb-
TBD-
Mjallby-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sabah Baku-
Ararat-Armenia-
Celje-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
Bodo/Glimt-
TBD-
Sturm Graz-
Sparta Prague-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-