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Sabah Baku vs Qarabag Agdam

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup Bank Respublika Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Nogueira Y.
12'
Solvet S.
17'
Pokatilov S.

AI Match Summary

Sabah Baku in this Azerbaijan Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sabah Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sabah Baku
30%
Draws
34%
Qarabag Agdam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sabah Baku have won more games recently than Qarabag Agdam.
  • Sabah Baku are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 12%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Baku Qarabag Agdam
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 20 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Sabah Baku vs Qarabag Agdam
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Sabah Baku
0:1
Apr 3, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Qarabag Agdam vs Sabah Baku
2:2
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Sabah Baku
3:3
Dec 18, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Qarabag Agdam
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Simic V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbina O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Qarabag Agdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 35 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Baku Qarabag Agdam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah Baku scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Qarabag Agdam has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Sabah Baku went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS Qarabag Agdam
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sabail0
Shamakhi1
Goygol0
Baku Sporting2
Qarabag Agdam-
TBD-
Karvan3
Sheki City1
Lokbatan2
Imisli FK3
TBD-
Sabah Baku-
Gabala5
Mingachevir1
Cebrayil0
Safa Baku3
Shimal0
Sahdag Qusar2
Dinamo Baki0
Turan5
Araz PFK-
TBD-
Kapaz6
Agstafa Gencleri1
FC Khankendi1
Difai Agsu2
Zaqatala PFK0
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK-
TBD-
Neftci Baku6
MOIK Baku2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi1
Baku Sporting0
Qarabag Agdam3
Karvan0
Imisli FK1
Sabah Baku2
Gabala2
Safa Baku1
Sahdag Qusar1
Turan2
Araz PFK0
Kapaz1
Difai Agsu1
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK1
Neftci Baku0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi3
Qarabag Agdam4
Sabah Baku4
Gabala3
Turan3
Kapaz0
SumQayit FK0
Zira FK2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam3
Sabah Baku4
Turan0
Zira FK2
Final
Sabah Baku2
Zira FK1