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Sabah Baku vs Shamakhi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Bank Respublika Arena, Masazır
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sabah Baku host Shamakhi in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Sabah Baku at 2.25 goals for, 0.9 against; Shamakhi at 1.03 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Sabah Baku slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.50 - 1.25) back Sabah Baku to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sabah Baku
30%
Draws
32%
Shamakhi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sabah Baku come out ahead of Shamakhi on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Sabah Baku taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 19%
Shamakhi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Baku Shamakhi
Matches Played 40 29
Wins 29 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Sabah Baku
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Shamakhi
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Sabah Baku
1:2
May 9, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Shamakhi
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Sabah Baku
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 49 / 100
Shamakhi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Baku Shamakhi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabah Baku Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah Baku found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (40 games).

Recent resilience: Sabah Baku stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Shamakhi conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS Shamakhi
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabah Baku

(Home)
17 Oct
Gabala
0 : 4
Sabah Baku
13 Oct
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Slavia Prague
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 8

Shamakhi

(Away)
16 Oct
Shamakhi
3 : 2
Safa Baku
10 Oct
Zira FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 7 6 1 0 18:1 19
2 Neftci Baku 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
3 Qarabag Agdam 7 5 2 0 14:7 17
4 Turan 7 4 2 1 7:4 14
5 Shamakhi 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
6 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
7 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
9 Gabala 8 1 1 6 3:15 4
10 Imisli FK 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
11 Safa Baku 8 1 0 7 4:15 3
12 Araz PFK 8 0 2 6 6:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)