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Sabah Baku vs Kapaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Bank Respublika Arena, Masazır
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Abubakar A.
35'
Fernandes R.
36'

AI Match Summary

Sabah Baku in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sabah Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sabah Baku
30%
Draws
27%
Kapaz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabah Baku lately — more wins on the board than Kapaz.
  • Model gives Sabah Baku a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 68%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Baku Kapaz
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 22 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.03 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Kapaz
2:0
May 8, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Kapaz
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Kapaz
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Sabah Baku
1:3
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Kapaz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Severina X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kapaz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 95 / 100
Kapaz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Baku Kapaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabah Baku Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah Baku found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Sabah Baku has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kapaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS Kapaz
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabah Baku

(Home)
17 Oct
Gabala
0 : 4
Sabah Baku
13 Oct
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Slavia Prague
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 7

Kapaz

(Away)
18 Oct
Kapaz
1 : 1
Zira FK
09 Oct
Araz PFK
0 : 2
Kapaz
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 7 6 1 0 18:1 19
2 Neftci Baku 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
3 Qarabag Agdam 7 5 2 0 14:7 17
4 Turan 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
5 Shamakhi 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
6 Zira FK 8 3 3 2 9:10 12
7 Kapaz 7 3 2 2 7:8 11
8 SumQayit FK 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
9 Imisli FK 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Gabala 8 1 1 6 3:15 4
11 Safa Baku 8 1 0 7 4:15 3
12 Araz PFK 8 0 2 6 6:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)