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Sabah vs Sri Pahang Prediction & H2H Stats

Malaysia Malaysia

Super League 2024/2025 Likas Stadium, Kota Kinabalu
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Match Events

21' Event
Lok D.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Azlin A.
37'
Shamsudin B.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between Sabah and Sri Pahang finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sabah
15%
Draws
64%
Sri Pahang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Pahang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sabah come out ahead of Sri Pahang on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Sri Pahang taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sabah Clean Sheet 20%
Sri Pahang Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Sri Pahang
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Super League
Sabah vs Sri Pahang
2:2
Feb 2, 2025 Malaysia Cup
Sri Pahang vs Sabah
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Malaysia Cup
Sabah vs Sri Pahang
1:1
Aug 9, 2024 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Sabah
2:3
Jul 15, 2023 Super League
Sabah vs Sri Pahang
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sri Pahang Compare

Top Goalscorer Azlin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sherman K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah 20 / 100
Sri Pahang 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Sri Pahang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Pahang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Pahang has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sabah scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Recent resilience: Sabah stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sabah VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabah

(Home)
13 Sept
Sabah
1 : 2
DPMM
09 Sept
Selangor
2 : 1
Sabah
05 Sept
Sabah
0 : 2
Kuching City FC
02 Sept
Sabah
2 : 2
Selangor
28 Aug
Sabah
2 : 0
Penang
Page 1 of 7

Sri Pahang

(Away)
26 Apr
Johor DT
2 : 1
Sri Pahang
19 Apr
Sri Pahang
3 : 2
Penang
12 Apr
Perak
0 : 1
Sri Pahang
08 Apr
Sri Pahang
6 : 0
Kedah
08 Mar
PDRM FC
1 : 3
Sri Pahang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Johor DT 24 23 1 0 90:8 70
2 Selangor 24 16 4 4 44:16 52
3 Sabah 24 11 7 6 41:33 40
4 Kuching City FC 24 10 9 5 38:28 39
5 Terengganu 24 9 8 7 35:26 35
6 Kuala Lumpur City 24 11 4 9 40:33 31
7 Perak 24 8 6 10 36:36 30
8 Sri Pahang 24 7 8 9 35:39 29
9 PDRM FC 24 7 6 11 25:36 27
10 Penang 24 6 8 10 31:38 26
11 Kedah 24 6 6 12 21:51 21
12 Negeri Sembilan FA 24 4 4 16 23:49 16
13 Kelantan The Real Warriors 24 2 1 21 16:82 7
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