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Sabail 2 vs Kapaz 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mammadov F.
20' Event
Cafarov E.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Ayralov B.

AI Match Summary

Kapaz 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kapaz 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sabail 2
20%
Draws
34%
Kapaz 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sabail 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sabail 2 average 1.53 goals a game right now, well clear of Kapaz 2's 1.46.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sabail 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sabail 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Kapaz 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabail 2 Kapaz 2
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2023 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs Kapaz 2
1:2
Oct 18, 2022 I Liqa
Kapaz 2 vs Sabail 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabail 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayralov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kapaz 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mammadov F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabail 2 42 / 100
Kapaz 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabail 2 Kapaz 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabail 2 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Kapaz 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sabail 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sabail 2 VS Kapaz 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabail 2

(Home)
23 May
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Sabail 2
16 May
Sabail 2
0 : 0
MOIK Baku
08 May
Araz PFK
3 : 1
Sabail 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
24 Apr
Turan 2
0 : 2
Sabail 2
Page 1 of 6

Kapaz 2

(Away)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
03 May
Imisli FK
1 : 2
Kapaz 2
17 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)