Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sabail vs Karvan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Sabail Logo

Sabail

1 - 1
FT
Karvan Logo

Karvan

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Dinho
61' Event
Silas O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sabail
30%
Draws
47%
Karvan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karvan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabail lately — more wins on the board than Karvan.
  • Win probability leans Karvan's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sabail Clean Sheet 19%
Karvan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabail Karvan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 I Liqa
Sabail vs Karvan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabail Compare

Top Goalscorer Dinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Karvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Silas O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabail 20 / 100
Karvan 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabail Karvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karvan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karvan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Sabail scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sabail has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sabail VS Karvan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabail

(Home)
05 Nov
Sabail
2 : 2
Gancabasar
27 Oct
Sabail
2 : 3
Zira FK
21 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 0
Sabail
15 Oct
Zaqatala PFK
1 : 3
Sabail
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
Page 1 of 6

Karvan

(Away)
05 Nov
Karvan
4 : 1
Shimal
29 Oct
Zangazur (Am)
1 : 4
Karvan
22 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Karvan
16 Oct
Karvan
2 : 1
Gancabasar
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Karvan 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
5 Sabail 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
6 Shimal 7 2 2 3 14:15 8
7 FC Khankendi 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Zaqatala PFK 7 1 2 4 7:22 5
9 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
10 Baku Sporting 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)