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Sabail vs Sahdag Qusar Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2025/2026 ASCO Arena, Baku
Sabail Logo

Sabail

0 - 0
FT
Sahdag Qusar Logo

Sahdag Qusar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2025/2026 game between Sabail and Sahdag Qusar finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sabail
35%
Draws
38%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Sabail's 1.6 goals per match outpaces what Sahdag Qusar have produced (1.4).
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Sahdag Qusar taking it.
  • Regular I Liqa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sabail Clean Sheet 20%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabail Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 I Liqa
Sabail vs Sahdag Qusar
0:0
Dec 18, 2025 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Sabail
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 I Liqa
Sabail vs Sahdag Qusar
2:0
Mar 27, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Sabail
0:4
Nov 4, 2016 I Liqa
Sabail vs Sahdag Qusar
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabail 20 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabail Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sabail's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sabail went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sahdag Qusar has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sabail VS Sahdag Qusar
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabail

(Home)
17 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 1
Sabail
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
03 Sept
FC Khankendi
1 : 1
Sabail
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Gancabasar 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)