Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Sabail host Shimal in the I Liqa. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Sabail at 1.65 goals for, 0.9 against; Shimal at 1.17 for, 2.3 against. Past meetings favor Sabail slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 16, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.69, favoring Sabail. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sabail carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Sabail taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sabail | Shimal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Shimal conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.
Sabail found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Solid form: Sabail remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sabail
(Home)Shimal
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gancabasar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Sahdag Qusar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 3 | MOIK Baku | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sabail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Karvan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Shimal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 8 |
| 7 | FC Khankendi | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 8 | Mingachevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 9 | Zaqatala PFK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:21 | 4 |
| 10 | Baku Sporting | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:17 | 0 |
