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Sacavenense U19 vs Alverca U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 game between Sacavenense U19 and Alverca U19 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alverca U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sacavenense U19
35%
Draws
19%
Alverca U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sacavenense U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Alverca U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sacavenense U19 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alverca U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sacavenense U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sacavenense U19 Alverca U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Alverca U19
3:4
Aug 14, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Sacavenense U19
3:0
Jun 26, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Alverca U19
0:3
Jun 3, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Sacavenense U19
4:3
Jan 25, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Sacavenense U19
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sacavenense U19 40 / 100
Alverca U19 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sacavenense U19 Alverca U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sacavenense U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Sacavenense U19 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Alverca U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Sacavenense U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alverca U19
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sacavenense U19

(Home)
21 May
Vilafranquense U19
1 : 1
Sacavenense U19
14 May
Sacavenense U19
0 : 1
Belenenses U19
07 May
Sacavenense U19
1 : 1
Vitoria Setubal U19
30 Apr
Amora U19
1 : 2
Sacavenense U19
23 Apr
Sacavenense U19
1 : 2
Nacional U19
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Alverca U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 FC Porto U19 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Braga U19 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Leixoes U19 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Sporting CP U19 3 2 0 1 12:2 6
3 Belenenses U19 3 1 0 2 3:13 3
4 Academica U19 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pacos Ferreira U19 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
2 Famalicao U19 8 3 4 1 12:10 13
3 Rio Ave U19 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
4 Vizela U19 8 3 1 4 12:17 10
5 Tondela U19 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alverca U19 10 8 2 0 34:9 26
2 Estoril U19 10 6 1 3 24:19 19
3 Vitoria Setubal U19 10 5 3 2 19:11 18
4 Sacavenense U19 10 5 1 4 30:13 16
5 Amora U19 10 2 1 7 18:42 7
6 Vilafranquense U19 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)